Bouvard on Israel War Endgame and Iran Strategy
The anti-Israel Firsters are declaring the war over and trying to create whatever facts they can on the "ground" to ensure that becomes the obvious assumption. They have been attacking Shapiro and Levin for suggesting Trump might resume attacks after midterms, even though many
others have been inducing that as a possibility. They probably need not bother, as a resumption of military activity would be very difficult, given that those who supported the war originally would be a bit gun shy now. This is why actual enforcement is unlikely since without
the threat of resumed hostilities what could cause whoever now runs Iran to allow for intrusive inspections and removal of valuable material? So, the view that Trump is calling it quits seems most likely to me. It would be best to just say, we did our best, and that was good.
There's an oscillation between this peace deal being really important, groundbreaking, delicate and not to be interfered with, on the one hand, and no big deal, just an agreement to keep talking, completely openended, on the other hand. There's a kind of shell game being played.
Bouvard on Israel War Endgame and Iran Strategy — https://center.study/post/2067747293919375395