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Bouvard on Trump's Successor and Political Continuity

X / Twitter · Apr 10, 2026 · 1 min read

Assuming Trump is seen as having had a successful presidency towards the end of his term, his most likely successor will be whoever can most convincingly defend and promise to continue what he has done. That's unlikely to be someone aligned with those Trump just dumped on.

@shamansaban I think it's more likely than not that Trump will be seen as a successful president both by his supporters and by the less ideologicaly entrenched who didn't support him.

@Imperius__13 I think they would be interesting.

@shamansaban He is shutting down immigration and will be able to point to millions of deportations, I think the tariffs and move toward reindustrializing the US will show results and I think some progress will be made on exposing and prosecuting deep state actors (and Democrats).

@shamansaban I don't think there's a single "public" that gets alienated--there are certainly media campaigns that put some people on the defensive. Your chart doesn't say how many have been deported, and have self-deported. The tariffs need time to kick in. Prosecutions are the toughest.

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